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« Learn to Trade Emini Futures - FOMC Statement 01/25/12 | Main | Learn to Trade Emini Futures - Emini Podcast 01/23/12 »
Tuesday
Jan242012

Learn to Trade Emini Futures - Emini Podcast 01/24/12

(QQQQ)(DIA)(SPY)(AAPL)

The S&P 500 Emini Futures traded inside a 7 point range again today until Apple released their record blowout earnings. When Globex opened at 3:30 CST the market made what seemed to be an obligatory 3 point move up to our next Weekly Trading Zone 1315/1316 where it promptly stalled out and has remained since.

Apple (AAPL) is selling a whole lot of just about every product it makes — and investors are loving it.

The company's stock shot up more than $32, or nearly 8%, in after-hours trading after it announced that its first quarter — which ended Dec. 31 and spanned the holiday buying season — was its best ever.

Revenue surged 74% to a record $46.3 billion and profit more than doubled to $13.1 billion, blowing away Wall Street's expectations as Apple sold more iPhones, iPads and Mac computers than in any quarter in its history.

Apple’s market cap is higher than the gross domestic product of Greece, Austria, Argentina or South Africa. As fans like to say, the only thing bigger than Apple was Steve Jobs. The Apple ascent is dramatic. Just 10 years ago, the 35-year-old company had a market cap of only $10 billion.

Now this is great news indeed for Apple shareholders and fanboy's everywhere, but did I mention the overall market reaction was a 3 point bump and stall? May I suggest returning your seat to it's upright position as the Captain has just turned on the "what are they smoking?" sign. Prepare for turbulence up ahead.

The Pre-Apple Setup

 

Live Trading Room
S&P 500 Emini Trade of the Day

Here once again -  one of my favorite setups from today's action:

  • Price breaks dynamic resistance (red dots)
  • Price pulls back to the top of the Weekly Trading Zone 1305.00
  • The BBC (green line) crosses above dynamic resistance and meets price at the WTZ
  • The rest is poetry in motion

I hate to interrupt the moment, but someone always wants to know "What's that worth in real money?" How crass right? My standard answer is - "You can't put a price on...." but the truth is (just between you and me) you can. You can put a price on it right down to the tick.

S&P 500 Emini Futures Contract Price Structure

1 tick = $12.50 per contract

4 ticks = 1 point

1 point = $50.00 per contract

How many contracts should I trade?

Rule of thumb - 1 contract per $5,000.00 of account equity

Rule of thumb - 10 contracts per $50,000.00 of account equity

So the above move was worth how much?

For the 1 contract trader - $200.00

For the 10 contract trader - $2,000.00

Do most futures traders follow the rules of thumb?

Quite frankly -  NO!
The margin required to trade 1 contract is only $600.00
The margin required to trade 10 contracts is $6,000.00

There are a lot of busted thumbs on Wacker Drive.
(where do you think they got the name?)

 

Good Advice (free)
You need to determine your own risk tolerance. Start with 1 contract no matter what your account size. Increase the number of contracts you trade based on market generated profits. Using the above structure you don't need to open a $50k account. If you do, the temptation to trade size greater than your skill level will not only be tempting, it will be overwhelming. Patience and discipline trump account size every time. If you don't believe me, the next time you see a guy with two busted thumbs... ask him.

Live Trading Room
In our trading/training room you will see us use aggressive risk management, trade after trade. Our main priority is not so much teaching you how to make money, our highest goal is to prevent you from losing your money as we work diligently to instill some very basic skills that you will need to survive in the world of trading. Once you understand our proprietary indicator set and fully embrace our rigorous method of managing risk, you simply need to apply the skills we have taught you with patience and discipline. Amazingly enough, everything else will just take care of itself.

When someone makes the decision to become a CFRN Partner, our team:

  • Michael
  • Burt
  • Leslie

and myself, dedicate the next 90 days of our life to teaching you everything we know about trading Emini Futures. From the mechanics, to the technology, to the psychology. Our goal is your success. The journey itself is life changing. Are you ready? It all begins with the click of your mouse -

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Emini Podcast for Tuesday 01/24/12

Reader Comments (1)

Thanks for the kind personal invitation. I will come and attend the open house meeting.
I would like to take the free trial, but will most probably be out next week,
as already mentioned.
Will let you know when to start.
yours,
Kees

Jan 27, 2012 at 5:08 | Unregistered Commenterkees van soest

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