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« Emini Futures | Trend Line Basics Part 2 | Main | Emini Futures | Trend Line Basics »

Emini Futures Podcast | Wednesday 03/21/12


The E-Mini S&P 500 trended down to the low of the day as Existing Home Sales did not meet expectations! The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales decreased 0.9 % to an annual rate of 4.59 million units last month from the revised 4.63 million units the previous month.   

There were upward revisions to the previous month’s figures boosting the recovery sentiment. The PHLX housing index was up 0.5 but off its highs. The median home price increased by 0.3 to $156,600.00 boosting sentiment further.  About a third of the sales last month were the distressed properties such as foreclosures and short sales.  The inventory of unsold homes increased 4.3 % to 2.43 million units last month. The mild winter may help boost home sales as shopping becomes easier without the cold weather and snow. “Operation Twist” has been key in keeping the mortgage interest low as set by the Federal Reserve to buy the long-term debt instruments and sell the short-term instruments, but will expire July 1st. The pause in the upswing in the E-Mini S&P 500 may be a type of rolling correction.  The technology stocks may be more supportive at this time. Volume will be key as the market is extended without any healthy retracement. Also, the end of March ends the 1st quarter where investors and/or fund managers may offset positions creating a potential liquidation just prior to April 1st. 

Tomorrow, the US Initial Jobless Claims is forecast between 354,000 – 350,000 in line with last week’s 351,000. The Federal Housing Finance Agency Home Price Index is expected to increase to 0.3 .  The Conference Board Leading Economic Indicators is expected to increase 0.7 over January’s.  China’s slowdown concerns seemed to correct today as the Chinese stocks increased. 

We will continue our Trend Line Basics tomorrow night.

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Emini Podcast for Wednesday 03/21/12

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