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Wednesday
Jan262011

Emini Futures Trading / Prosperity for God's People

Emini Daytrading post State of the Union, pre Fed Interest Rate Decision.

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Wednesday
Jan262011

Emini Futures Trading / Dow 12,000 Now What?

State of the Union; State of the economy, “insufficient”?

President Barack Obama delivered his State of the Union Address yesterday evening! He covered all of the major issues as intended. The one area that seemed to stand out was, the economic recovery is continuing, but at an “insufficient” rate to make a significant improvement in the labor department.  Unemployment fell to 9.4 from 9.8 in December. This was supportive to the Feds commitment on the $600 billion Bond buying program. The Congressional Budget Office estimated the US Deficit may rise to $1.48 trillion. The US Economy is expected to have expanded 3.5 in the fourth quarter. The polls are giving varied forecast around 3.5 . We expect the GDP Report to confirm the actual figure on Friday Morning.  Energies and Grains were up today as tangibles were regarded to be in demand.  The weaker US Dollar helped with goods becoming more attractive to buyers. New Home Sales were up. Corporate Earnings rose to support the E-Mini S&P 500.  Basically, the investor sentiment was up on the President’s State of the Union Address. The E-Mini S&P 500 made a technical advance today as it finally made a high of $1296.75 through the previous double top of $1296.25.  This was a small advance, but was extremely significant.  

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Tuesday
Jan252011

Emini Futures Trading / Dow 12,000?

Stuck in the mud but traders eyeing 12,000 in DJIA!

Traders’ hedging their bets going into tonight’s Presidential address and tomorrow’s FOMC meeting created a late surge in the SP EMINI offsetting disappointing earnings, overnight news out of the UK and overnight weakness in commodity prices. The trading day started in the hole when commodity prices fell with metals and energy weighing on the sector. Also weighing on the SP EMINI last night,  U.K. data showed that the economy across the pond was contracting at a rate not seen since 2009. Disappointing earnings from notables like 3M, JNJ and American Express weighed on stocks. 

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Monday
Jan242011

Emini Futures Trading / PPT Hard At Work Ahead Of Speech?

Earnings and the material sector keep us positive on the day!

Without any major economic news today the focus was on earnings and the chart. Intel had a share buy back program to renew some optimism. Shares of Alcoa were up 4% as they forecast further demand. Copper demand was also up based on China’s growth. Other stocks were mixed. The real question is whether this  market can penetrate $1296.25 ? This particular zone becomes pivotal in the direction of the E-Mini S&P 500 as traders size up the bulls and some of the key components of a bull market. 

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Friday
Jan212011

Emini Futures Trading / Swing Batter Batter

Which way do I go, which way do I go? Without any major economic news today the focus was on earnings and the chart. The big news which drove the Dow to new highs was the earnings surprise from GE; the stock was up over 7% today. Bank of America (BAC) reported a 4th quarter loss and was down 2%.  The technology sector or the Nasdaq was weighed by the semiconductors. As a whole we had a divergent market, the Dow pushed higher and the Nasdaq dropped lower putting the SP EMINI in the middle of the tug of war. Technically speaking we hit several key levels so there was plenty of volatility which = opportunity.  The Weekly Trading Zones (WTZ) at the 1284/1285 level and the 1280/1279 level offered opportunities to the CFRN listeners.

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Thursday
Jan202011

Emini Futures Trading / Retracement Or Reversal?

Retracement or Reversal? We failed to penetrate the $1296.25 again in today’s session! The market double topped there two nights ago on the 5 minute chart.  It was an inside to lower day today breaking through the low of $1277.00 to reach a low of $1267.00.

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Wednesday
Jan192011

Emini Futures Trading / Full Moon Double Top

President Obama met today with China's smiling president Hu Jintao and confronted him about China’s dismal human rights record, its history of technological piracy and the manipulation of its currency. He insinuated that Hu is simply the front man for a vicious communist apparatus that uses that nation’s 1 billion+ impoverished citizens as dispensable workers to create wealth for itself in the international trading system.
(you wish)

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Tuesday
Jan182011

Emini Futures Trading / Markets Nicely Dressed For Rich Uncle Visit

$1300.00, here we come! There were no significant economic reports out today, so that meant that we could focus on earnings! Apple shares are in focus as Chief Executive Steve Jobs is taking a third medical leave since 2004. The stock took a bit of a tumble in Frankfurt, -8 . Citigroup dropped -5.5. Standard and Poor’s debt rating agency ruled out any possible US Government Debt Default, but the issue is still being debated in Congress regarding the debt ceiling.   

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Monday
Jan172011

Emini Futures Trading / Will The Market Ever Drop Again?

I've officially given up my vainglorious quest to be the smartest guy in the room. Today, I'm quietly content just knowing which one he is. Here's what he thinks...

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Friday
Jan142011

Emini Futures Trading / SP Closes At Multi-Year High

Again, Read the tape and quit trying to buck the trend…1300 is on the horizon

We walked into the morning session with the indices lower because the Bank of China raised there reserve requirement.  Asian markets were trading lower which set the stage for a lower opening.  Restricting the money supply put pressure on commodity prices overnight, especially gold and silver which couldn’t recover and finished the day down 2%-3% and on its backside for the week.  JP Morgan reported before the opening bell and beat expectations thus lifting financial stocks along the way.  Then we were hit with a slew of mixed economic reports.  Retail Sales rose 0.6% in December but missed the forecast.  Consumer Confidence fell to 72.7 from 74.5 but the street was expecting something better.  Consumer Price Index or CPI rose 0.5% in December, the largest increase since June 2009.  Whew, that was a mouth full.  How do you make a trading decision based on all that?  My advice, you don’t just look at a chart.

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