Trading was lackluster again today on Wall Street ahead of a Fed rate announcement which comes tomorrow, Tuesday March 13, 2012 at 2:15pm ET. The S&P500 Emini Futures spent the day session inside a 7 point range settling below 1368. Once the Asian markets opened we saw a 7 point move on Gloex in the first hour.
We've posed this question many times on the Radio and it seems to be one that simply isn't going to go away anytime soon. What happened to the engine that once drove the world's economy? Are we naive enough to believe that our economy and markets have become so stable there is simply no price fluctuation? Or is there something else at work? Something powerful enough to keep the markets in check despite the bullishness of buyers to drive it higher or the bearishness of sellers to knock it down?
I'm no stranger to Market Profile, I'm no expert either. I do understand basic terms like Point of Control and what it means for a market to be "in balance". I've also watched the charts long enough to know when "this" is not "that"....
S&P500 Emini Futures
Emini Futures trading could see some volatility on the Fed announcement. The best six months of job gains since 2006 have helped reduce the odds of a third round of asset purchases by the Federal Reserve. Bernanke, in Senate testimony March 9th gave no sign he’s considering QE3 or so-called quantitative easing. Still, he repeated that the main interest rate is likely to stay near zero through at least late 2014 to boost a job market that remains “far from normal.”
Unless you are an experienced Emini Trader it is best to be flat when the announcement is made @ 2:15PM ET. Allow the markets 15-20 minutes to absorb the news before placing a trade. Here is what Wall Street looked like today followed by the Asian open -
S&P500 Emini Futures (ES) 03/12/12
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