E-Mini S&P 500 - Battles, Earthquakes and Tsunami’s~!
The E-Mini S&P 500 fell in the early morning as the Libyan conflict ensued. This week, we also got a tarnished picture of the Euro Zone as Moody’s came in with the downgrades. To top it off, we had the warnings of earthquakes in Japan and a Tsunami that may in fact impact 20 countries. It will probably not be known until Monday the extent of the damage. While insurance companies may suffer some consequences, this actually may help in the case of the tangible commodities and job force as buildings may have to be rebuilt, roads may warrant reconstruction. The battle in Libya appears to be a thorn in the side of our Leaders. The relationships in the Middle East must be balanced. Intervention may bode badly in a region that is quick to respond. The most effected part of this scenario is the Crude Oil and disruption of supplies. The Crude Oil has come off the highs with the E-Mini S&P 500, but there are still fears of the effects of inflation playing havoc with our already fragile economic environment. The Crude Oil may remain fairly high for quite some time, perhaps the market will absorb this factor and simply focus on food prices and other costs of living today. The Initial Jobless Claims was a disappointment yesterday and the reports today were mixed
Today’s US Retail Sales was up 1.0 % with the largest gain in four months. US Business Inventories was up .9% to $1.45 trillion which was the highest since January of 2009. On the other side of the coin, the Thompson Reuters/University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment fell to 68.2 off 77.5 in February. The Consumer Sentiment may have been affected by the recent higher energy costs. On the Stock’s scene, Apple Inc. introduces its new iPad with optimism.
Monday, there are no major US Economic Reports scheduled. We have rolled to the June contract.
Monday, what to expect! The coil has broken and the market is in sell mode for the second day in a row today! Today’s range was $1303.75 - $1278.50. The market settled at $1301.25. Our comfort zone or point of control for this market appears to be $1293.00. The official game changer was the slip below $1298.50. We remain bearish as long as we stay below $1330.50 according to the Daily Chart. What we anticipate is a rally after an over-extension to the downside today! We potentially look to buy this market around $1290.00 with a potential stop loss just below the low of the day of $1278.50. This market closed at the higher part of the range and still has some strength. As the news of all the catastrophes are digested, we may see the market come right back with an inside to higher day!
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